Physics-informed surrogate modelling of finite-size scaling and Curie temperature suppression in ferroelectric perovskite nanostructures
Abstract
Finite-size suppression of the Curie temperature (Tc) in ferroelectric perovskite nanostructures remains an important yet insufficiently resolved problem, with reported scaling exponents varying considerably across experimental and theoretical studies. Although density functional theory provides atomistic insight into size-dependent behaviour, its high computational cost limits systematic exploration across broad size ranges. Conversely, purely empirical fitting approaches often lack physical interpretability and formal uncertainty quantification. In this work, a physics-informed surrogate modelling framework is developed to investigate finite-size scaling in BaTiO₃ and KNbO₃ nanostructures using a structured dataset compiled from the literature. The model is based on thermodynamically motivated scaling behaviour, enabling extraction of physically meaningful size-dependent parameters. Bootstrap resampling is employed to quantify statistical robustness, yielding scaling exponents of 1.59 (95% confidence interval: 1.43–1.72) for BaTiO₃ and 1.40 (95% confidence interval: 1.31–1.52) for KNbO₃. Gaussian Process regression is further integrated to provide uncertainty-aware predictions across the nanoscale domain. In addition to forward prediction, the framework enables inverse estimation of the minimum particle size required to preserve ferroelectric stability at a specified operating temperature. For a threshold of 300 K, the predicted critical sizes are approximately 4.96 nm for BaTiO₃ and 2.89 nm for KNbO₃. Extension to a coupled size–strain formulation produces a two-dimensional stability map, demonstrating tunable interactions between confinement and strain. Overall, the proposed methodology provides a transparent, statistically rigorous, and computationally efficient framework for predictive analysis and rational design of nanoscale ferroelectric materials.
Copyright (c) 2026 Aswin Karkadakattil

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
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