ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS AND STABILITY ANALYSIS OF CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC

Poonam Garg; Ritu Arora; Surbhi Madan; Dhiraj KumarSingh

Poonam Garg Department of Mathematics, Deen Dayal Upadhyaya College (University of Delhi), Azad Hind Fauj Marg, Dwarka, Delhi 110078, India
Ritu Arora Department of Mathematics, Janki Devi Memorial College (University of Delhi), Sir Ganga Ram Hospital Marg, New Delhi 110060, India
Surbhi Madan Department of Mathematics, Shivaji College (University of Delhi), Raja Garden, New Delhi 110027, India
Dhiraj KumarSingh Department of Mathematics, Zakir Husain Delhi College (University of Delhi), Jawaharlal Nehru Marg, Delhi 110002, India

Article ID: 2573

Keywords: Covid-19; Algeria; Repeated MsDTM; equilibrium; stability

Abstract

Despite ranking amongst the highest in medical systems in Africa and spending a substantial amount on health sector than other African nations, Algeria suffered a major blow in the first wave of the Covid-19 pandemic. Vaccine hesitancy also affected the country adversely in subsequent waves of the disease. This study estimates the number of Covid-19 cases for Algeria in January 2022 using two numerical methods Multi-step Differential Transform Method (MsDTM) and Repeated MsDTM. Stability analysis of the pandemic for the country has also been discussed in the paper.

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