ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF COVID-19 SPREAD USING NUMERICAL METHOD

Surbhi Madan; Ritu Arora; Poonam Garg; Dhiraj KumarSingh

Surbhi Madan Department of Mathematics, Shivaji College (University of Delhi), Raja Garden, New Delhi 110027, India
Ritu Arora Department of Mathematics, Janki Devi Memorial College (University of Delhi), Sir Ganga Ram Hospital, Marg New Delhi 110060,India
Poonam Garg Department of Mathematics, Deen Dayal Upadhyaya College (University of Delhi) Azad Hind Fauj Marg, Dwarka, Delhi 110078, India
Dhiraj KumarSingh Department of Mathematics, Deen Dayal Upadhyaya College (University of Delhi) Azad Hind Fauj Marg, Dwarka, Delhi 110078, India

Article ID: 2552

Keywords: virus; pandemic; prediction; Italy; economy

Abstract

In this paper, we have discussed the impact of Coronavirus variants in a phase of 2021-22 along with a previous phase of 2020-21 in Italy. We analyse and compare the Covid-19 scenario in Italy for the period from October 04, 2020 to January 16, 2021 with a period from October 04, 2021 to January 16, 2022. For this study, we have used repeated multi-step differential transform method (RMsDTM). Also, we have predicted the number of active cases for 10 days following the period of study.

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